Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (294/379)78% (293/378)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.611.91
Total shots
813
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2530
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
811
Passes
78% (294/379)78% (293/378)
Long passes
42% (29/69)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
69% (88/127)70% (89/128)
Crosses
18% (5/28)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.42
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
128
Tackles
56% (5/9)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
2831
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.911.61
Goals prevented
-0.090.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. , Elber (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Moraes ,
  • 45+5', Boudah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Funabashi Y. , Cavric A. ,
  • 50', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
  • 52', Chinen K. 🟨,
  • 66', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 66', Ohara M. , Okumura J. ,
  • 69', Tagawa K. , Leo Ceara ,
  • 70', Elber , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 84', Chinen K. , Misao K. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Leo Ceara , Ogawa R. (A),
  • 88', Nono K. , Tsukui K. ,
  • 89', Arai T. , Taniguchi K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
24.3%
Draw
27.5%
Kashima Antlers
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 28% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 28.1% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    3.53
    (3.37)
    2.01
    (2.16)
    2.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers?
  • Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.
    • Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Fujiwara S. (Yellow Cards) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    05.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers 0:4
    16.06.2024 Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    26.08.2023 Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    18.06.2023 Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Verdy331091421:35-1439
    15Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    16Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League