Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (294/379) | 78% (293/378) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.61 | 1.91 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
78% (294/379) | 78% (293/378) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (29/69) | 44% (22/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (88/127) | 70% (89/128) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (5/28) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.65 | 1.42 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.91 | 1.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.09 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Elber (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Moraes ⚽,
- 45+5', Boudah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 50', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
- 52', Chinen K. 🟨,
- 66', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 66', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 69', Tagawa K. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 70', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 84', Chinen K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ogawa R. (A),
- 88', Nono K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 89', Arai T. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata 24.3% | Draw 27.5% | Kashima Antlers 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.11 ↑ (3.32) |
3.53 ↑ (3.37) |
2.01 ↓ (2.16) |
2.5% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.
- Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Fujiwara S.
(Yellow Cards)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kashima Antlers?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Albirex Niigata?
Kashima Antlers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
26.02.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
05.10.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kashima Antlers
0:4
16.06.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
26.08.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
18.06.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
3 | Kyoto | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 57 |
5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 52 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 40 |
14 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 21:36 | -15 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League