Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.72 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
72% (216/299) | 78% (323/416) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.72 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.55 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
72% (216/299) | 78% (323/416) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (15/42) | 58% (29/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (90/134) | 60% (50/83) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 24% (5/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.93 | 0.33 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 1.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Kasai K. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- 57', Kasai K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
- 59', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
- 77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
- 81', Hayakawa F. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
- 86', Kawasaki S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 86', Marco Tulio ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
- 87', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 90+4', Hirato T. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 90+4', Hara T. ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga 48.3% | Draw 26.9% | Albirex Niigata 24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.11) |
3.47 ↑ (3.4) |
3.76 ↑ (3.61) |
6.5% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Albirex Niigata?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kyoto Sanga?
Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
19.04.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
12.08.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
20.04.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
28.10.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
11.06.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:3
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League