Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/299) | 78% (323/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/299) | 78% (323/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (90/134) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Kasai K. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- 57', Kasai K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
- 59', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
- 77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
- 81', Hayakawa F. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
- 86', Kawasaki S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 86', Marco Tulio ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
- 87', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 90+4', Hirato T. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 90+4', Hara T. ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
48.3% | Draw
26.9% | Albirex Niigata
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.11) |
3.47 ↑
(3.4) |
3.76 ↑
(3.61) |
6.5%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Albirex Niigata?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kyoto Sanga?
Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
19.04.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
12.08.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
20.04.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
28.10.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
11.06.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:3
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
