Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.551.05
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
86
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Long passes
36% (15/42)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)60% (50/83)
Crosses
22% (5/23)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.33
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
68
Tackles
80% (12/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
3038
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.051.55
Goals prevented
0.05-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hara T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Danilo Gomes , Ota S. ,
  • 57', Kasai K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 59', Nagasawa S. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
  • 77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 81', Hayakawa F. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 86', Kawasaki S. , Leo Gomes ,
  • 86', Marco Tulio , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 87', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+4', Hirato T. , Asada S. ,
  • 90+4', Hara T. , Hiraga S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
48.3%
Draw
26.9%
Albirex Niigata
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.11)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    6.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    12.08.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 2:0
    20.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    28.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    11.06.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:3
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

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          Relegation ~ J2 League