Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.551.05
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
86
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Long passes
36% (15/42)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)60% (50/83)
Crosses
22% (5/23)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.33
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
68
Tackles
80% (12/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
3038
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.051.55
Goals prevented
0.05-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hara T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Danilo Gomes , Ota S. ,
  • 57', Kasai K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 59', Nagasawa S. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
  • 77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 81', Hayakawa F. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 86', Kawasaki S. , Leo Gomes ,
  • 86', Marco Tulio , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 87', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+4', Hirato T. , Asada S. ,
  • 90+4', Hara T. , Hiraga S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
48.3%
Draw
26.9%
Albirex Niigata
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.11)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    6.5%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    12.08.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 2:0
    20.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    28.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    11.06.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:3
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League