Result
3:0
18/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 71% (270/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 71% (270/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (67/115) | 59% (76/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Hirato T. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
- 28', Sakai K. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Sato K. 🟨,
- 59', Hirato T. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 59', Sato K. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 61', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Homma S. ⚽, Ishiwatari N. (A),
- 72', Gustavo Barreto ↓, David ↑,
- 72', Yoon S. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
- 80', Homma S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
- 80', Shibayama M. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
- 90', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
- 90+3', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 90+5', Sugai H. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 42.5% | Draw 27.3% | Kyoto Sanga 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.32) |
3.45 ↓ (3.66) |
3.12 ↑ (2.86) |
6.2% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Elias
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Cerezo Osaka has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
14.03.2026
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:2
28.09.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
21.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:4
03.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:3
17.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:5
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)