Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

: J1 League - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	0.73
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
6	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
91% (490/540)	85% (355/420)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.00
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
6	0
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
28	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
6	13
Passes
91% (490/540)	85% (355/420)
Long passes
56% (22/39)	24% (10/41)
Passes in final third
81% (78/96)	69% (83/121)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.82
Throw-ins
17	15
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
46% (6/13)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
29	37
Clearances
15	25
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.00	0.62
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Tono D. 🟨,
45+3', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Inamura H. (A),
74', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
74', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
74', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
76', Suzuki T. ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,
82', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
82', Hoshi Y. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
90', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
90', Miyamoto E. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+4', Anderson Lopes ↓, Asada H. ↑,
90+4', Amano J. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
40.1%

Draw
26.2%

Yokohama F. Marinos
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	5.8% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Albirex Niigata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Albirex Niigata?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

15.02.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 1:1

18.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 0:0

15.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1

24.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 0:0

14.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

11.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fukuyama City 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

11.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - ReinMeer Aomori 0:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	22	13	2	7	32:20	12	41
2	Kashiwa Reysol	22	11	8	3	30:20	10	41
3	Vissel Kobe	22	12	4	6	28:21	7	40
4	Kyoto	22	11	5	6	36:26	10	38
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	22	11	3	8	26:18	8	36
6	Kawasaki Frontale	22	9	8	5	35:23	12	35
7	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
8	Machida	22	10	4	8	30:25	5	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	22	9	6	7	34:29	5	33
10	Okayama	22	8	6	8	19:19	0	30
11	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
12	Gamba Osaka	22	8	4	10	26:30	-4	28
13	Nagoya Grampus	22	7	6	9	28:30	-2	27
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	22	7	6	9	27:29	-2	27
15	Verdy	22	7	6	9	15:23	-8	27
16	FC Tokyo	22	7	5	10	24:31	-7	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	21	6	5	10	16:26	-10	23
18	Yokohama FC	22	5	4	13	14:27	-13	19
19	Albirex Niigata	22	4	7	11	23:37	-14	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	22	3	6	13	19:32	-13	15

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto