Carabanchel vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Carabanchel - Alcalá
Result
1:0
16/03/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Ramirez de Arroba A. ,

Chances of winning


Carabanchel
23.4%
Draw
29.7%
Alcalá
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 24.2% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.1% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabanchel's performance.
  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabanchel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carabanchel - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (5.73)
    3.06
    (3.75)
    1.94
    (1.51)
    9.8%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Carabanchel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alcalá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alcalá will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Alcalá were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Alcalá - Carabanchel 1:0
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    Latest results of Alcalá
    09.03.2025 Alcalá - El Álamo 4:1
    01.03.2025 Collado Villalba - Alcalá 3:2
    23.02.2025 Alcalá - Galapagar 5:0
    16.02.2025 Trival Valderas - Alcalá 1:2
    09.02.2025 Alcalá - Aravaca 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2