Result
1:0
16/03/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Ramirez de Arroba A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carabanchel 23.4% | Draw 29.7% | Alcalá 46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabanchel's performance.Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabanchel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carabanchel - Alcalá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.89 ↓ (5.73) |
3.06 ↓ (3.75) |
1.94 ↑ (1.51) |
9.8% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Carabanchel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Alcalá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Alcalá will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabanchel won against Alcalá?
Carabanchel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcalá won against Carabanchel?
Alcalá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Alcalá were as follows:
03.11.2024
Alcalá
-
Carabanchel
1:0
Latest results of Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 72:40 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 53 |
| 3 | Leganes B | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 58:27 | 31 | 50 |
| 4 | Trival Valderas | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | AD Torrejon | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 6 | CD Mostoles | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Adarve | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 41 |
| 10 | Mexico FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:41 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Galapagar | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 33:41 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Tres Cantos | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 16 | Siello | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 28:41 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Parla | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27:54 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 30:61 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation