Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pirola F. ↓, Chierichetti P. ↑,
- 55', Alberti T. 🟨,
- 70', Samele L. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
- 70', Lopes E. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Basso G. ⚽,
- 75', Marconi M. 🟨,
- 89', da Graca C. 🟥,
- 90+2', da Graca C. ↓, Lartey S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alcione
36.9% | Draw
32.3% | Novara
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Alcione - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.45) |
2.86 ↓
(2.99) |
2.99 ↑
(2.98) |
8.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Novara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Novara (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alcione will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 50%). Novara (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Alcione has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcione won against Novara?
Alcione has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Alcione?
Novara has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Novara were as follows:
09.02.2025
Novara
-
Alcione
1:1
28.09.2024
Alcione
-
Novara
2:1
Latest results of Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
