Alcione vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pirola F. , Chierichetti P. ,
  • 55', Alberti T. 🟨,
  • 70', Samele L. , Marconi M. ,
  • 70', Lopes E. , Olivieri D. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Basso G. ,
  • 75', Marconi M. 🟨,
  • 89', da Graca C. 🟥,
  • 90+2', da Graca C. , Lartey S. ,

Chances of winning


Alcione
36.9%
Draw
32.3%
Novara
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 31.2% 30.9%

Alcione - Novara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.45)
2.86
(2.99)
2.99
(2.98)
8.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Novara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Novara (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alcione will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 50%). Novara (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Alcione has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Novara were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Novara - Alcione 1:1
    28.09.2024 Alcione - Novara 2:1
    Latest results of Alcione
    09.11.2025 Brescia - Alcione 0:1
    03.11.2025 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    29.10.2025 Atalanta U23 - Alcione 2:1
    26.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Alcione 1:1
    17.10.2025 Alcione - Inter U23 1:2
    Latest results of Novara
    09.11.2025 Novara - Lecco 1:0
    01.11.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 2:2
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza25196045:133263
    2Brescia25138433:141947
    3Lecco25136631:181345
    4Alcione Milano251231027:171039
    5Renate25109627:23439
    6Cittadella25116828:26239
    7Trento25911534:27738
    8Inter U2325108730:26438
    9Giana Erminio2598824:24035
    10Pro Vercelli251051027:33-635
    11Lumezzane2588928:31-332
    12Arzignano25861136:37-130
    13Dolomiti Bellunesi25781022:36-1429
    14AlbinoLeffe25781034:38-429
    15Novara25416522:24-228
    16Ospitaletto25691025:27-227
    17Pergolettese25481321:36-1520
    18Virtus Verona253101222:34-1219
    19Pro Patria25271618:47-2913
    20Triestina25761228:31-34

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation