Alcione vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pirola F. , Chierichetti P. ,
  • 55', Alberti T. 🟨,
  • 70', Samele L. , Marconi M. ,
  • 70', Lopes E. , Olivieri D. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Basso G. ,
  • 75', Marconi M. 🟨,
  • 89', da Graca C. 🟥,
  • 90+2', da Graca C. , Lartey S. ,

Chances of winning


Alcione
36.9%
Draw
32.3%
Novara
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 31.2% 30.9%

Alcione - Novara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.45)
2.86
(2.99)
2.99
(2.98)
8.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Novara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alcione will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Alcione has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Novara were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Novara - Alcione 1:1
    28.09.2024 Alcione - Novara 2:1
    Latest results of Alcione
    09.11.2025 Brescia - Alcione 0:1
    03.11.2025 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    29.10.2025 Atalanta U23 - Alcione 2:1
    26.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Alcione 1:1
    17.10.2025 Alcione - Inter U23 1:2
    Latest results of Novara
    09.11.2025 Novara - Lecco 1:0
    01.11.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 2:2
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza16133029:82142
    2Brescia1686223:91430
    3Lecco1693421:101130
    4Cittadella1784514:12228
    5Alcione Milano1683517:10727
    6Inter U231675422:16626
    7Pro Vercelli1773720:22-224
    8Trento1758421:19223
    9Renate1756615:18-321
    10Giana Erminio1648413:14-120
    11Novara16310313:13019
    12Dolomiti Bellunesi1646615:23-818
    13Lumezzane1645718:24-617
    14Arzignano1645720:27-717
    15AlbinoLeffe1645722:24-217
    16Ospitaletto1636715:20-515
    17Pergolettese1635813:23-1014
    18Virtus Verona1627717:23-613
    19Pro Patria1626813:24-1112
    20Triestina1646614:16-2-5

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation