Alcione vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Total shots
46
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pirola F. , Chierichetti P. ,
  • 55', Alberti T. 🟨,
  • 70', Samele L. , Marconi M. ,
  • 70', Lopes E. , Olivieri D. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Basso G. ,
  • 75', Marconi M. 🟨,
  • 89', da Graca C. 🟥,
  • 90+2', da Graca C. , Lartey S. ,

Chances of winning


Alcione
36.9%
Draw
32.3%
Novara
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 31.2% 30.9%

Alcione - Novara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.45)
2.86
(2.99)
2.99
(2.98)
8.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Novara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Novara (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alcione will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 50%). Novara (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Alcione has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Novara were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Novara - Alcione 1:1
    28.09.2024 Alcione - Novara 2:1
    Latest results of Alcione
    09.11.2025 Brescia - Alcione 0:1
    03.11.2025 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    29.10.2025 Atalanta U23 - Alcione 2:1
    26.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Alcione 1:1
    17.10.2025 Alcione - Inter U23 1:2
    Latest results of Novara
    09.11.2025 Novara - Lecco 1:0
    01.11.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 2:2
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza22175037:122556
    2Lecco22135430:131744
    3Brescia22127330:121843
    4Cittadella22106625:20536
    5Inter U232297626:21534
    6Alcione Milano22103921:16533
    7Renate2288623:21232
    8Trento22710529:24531
    9Giana Erminio2278721:21029
    10Lumezzane2278724:26-229
    11Pro Vercelli22841022:31-928
    12Arzignano2276931:33-227
    13Ospitaletto2268823:23026
    14Dolomiti Bellunesi2267921:31-1025
    15AlbinoLeffe2267930:34-425
    16Novara22315419:22-324
    17Virtus Verona22391020:30-1018
    18Pergolettese22371218:33-1516
    19Pro Patria22261415:38-2312
    20Triestina22561121:25-4-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation