Result
2:1
13/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Alcúdia
63.5% | Draw
22.1% | Arenal
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcúdia - Arenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.82) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
6.29 ↑
(4.09) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Arenal?
Alcúdia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenal won against Alcúdia?
Arenal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Arenal were as follows:
Latest results of Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 85:18 | 67 | 73 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 55:24 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Constancia | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:26 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | Formentera | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32:48 | -16 | 37 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 11 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
