Result
2:1
13/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Alcúdia
63.5% | Draw
22.1% | Arenal
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcúdia - Arenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.82) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
6.29 ↑
(4.09) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Arenal?
Alcúdia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenal won against Alcúdia?
Arenal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Arenal were as follows:
Latest results of Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manacor | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 51:23 | 28 | 59 |
| 2 | Mallorca B | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 64:14 | 50 | 57 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 45:17 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:28 | 8 | 39 |
| 5 | Constancia | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Cardassar | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:35 | -9 | 33 |
| 7 | Mercadal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Inter Ibiza | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Alcudia | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 29 |
| 11 | Platges de Calvia | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Formentera | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Portmany | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15:31 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
| 17 | Rotlet Molinar | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 18 | Collerense | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24:45 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
