Alcúdia vs Arenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Alcúdia - Arenal
Result
2:1
13/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16

Chances of winning


Alcúdia
63.5%
Draw
22.1%
Arenal
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 27.2% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.
  • Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alcúdia - Arenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.82)
    4.09
    (3.25)
    6.29
    (4.09)
    10.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alcúdia
    07.01.2024 Binissalem - Alcúdia 3:1
    16.12.2023 Alcúdia - Inter Manacor 1:0
    02.12.2023 Mercadal - Alcúdia 0:0
    25.11.2023 Alcúdia - Felanitx 2:0
    Latest results of Arenal
    22.12.2023 Arenal - Sóller 3:0
    16.12.2023 Santanyí - Arenal 3:0
    02.12.2023 Arenal - Manacor 1:3
    26.11.2023 Alaior - Arenal 2:1
    18.11.2023 Arenal - Portmany 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2