Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 70', 🟥,
- 73', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alcúdia
35.8% | Draw
29.8% | Mercadal
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercadal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcúdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercadal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alcúdia - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.22) |
3.04 ↑
(2.98) |
2.63 ↓
(3.12) |
10.6%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
- In recent matches, Alcúdia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mercadal is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alcúdia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alcúdia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcúdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Mercadal?
Alcúdia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Alcúdia?
Mercadal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Mercadal were as follows:
25.01.2025
Alcúdia
-
Mercadal
0:1
21.04.2024
Alcúdia
-
Mercadal
1:0
02.12.2023
Mercadal
-
Alcúdia
0:0
Latest results of Alcúdia
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 97:21 | 76 | 80 |
| 2 | Manacor | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:34 | 34 | 76 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:28 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | Constancia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:28 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Formentera | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 34:51 | -17 | 41 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:55 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 37 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 35 |
| 15 | Portmany | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 39:61 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 27:57 | -30 | 23 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32:66 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
