Result
2:1
13/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Alcúdia
63.5% | Draw
22.1% | Arenal
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcúdia - Arenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.82) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
6.29 ↑
(4.09) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Arenal?
Alcúdia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenal won against Alcúdia?
Arenal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Arenal were as follows:
Latest results of Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 97:21 | 76 | 80 |
| 2 | Manacor | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:34 | 34 | 76 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:28 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | Constancia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:28 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Formentera | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 34:51 | -17 | 41 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:55 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 37 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 35 |
| 15 | Portmany | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 39:61 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 27:57 | -30 | 23 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32:66 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
