Aldershot Town vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Cup Aldershot Town - Derby County U21
Result
3:0
15/10/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: National League Cup - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNational League TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Jones R. ,
  • 23', Robinson K. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Jones A. , Scott O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thompson L. , Hawkins H. ,
  • 46', Barkhuizen T. , Perry J. ,
  • 46', Byrd L. , Widdrington T. ,
  • 46', Maja E. , Hargreaves C. ,
  • 50', Corbett K. 🟨,
  • 58', Barham J. , Ghandour H. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Jones R. ,
  • 61', Rooney J. , Moloney R. ,
  • 61', Stepien-Iwumene A. , Eames O. ,
  • 71', Jones A. , Mullins M. ,
  • 79', Osayande A. , Ebuka C. ,
  • 79', Henry J. , Walsh B. ,

Chances of winning


Aldershot Town
51.9%
Draw
22.6%
Derby County U21
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 25.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.1% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldershot Town's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldershot Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aldershot Town - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.22)
    4.02
    (3.6)
    3.54
    (2.66)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Latest results of Aldershot Town
    12.10.2024 Aldershot Town - Bath City 2:1
    05.10.2024 Fylde - Aldershot Town 5:2
    24.09.2024 Aldershot Town - Barnet 0:1
    21.09.2024 Aldershot Town - York City 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BraintreeBrighton U212 : 1
    2SuttonManchester Utd U213 : 0
    3AltrinchamNewcastle Utd U214 : 3
    4AldershotLeeds U211 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1BraintreeSutton0 : 1
    2AltrinchamLeeds U211 : 2

    Final
    1SuttonLeeds U211 : 2