Derby County U21 vs Sunderland U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Watson D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
617
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Jones H. ,
  • 45+3', Jones J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Wahling J. , Hodges D. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 54', Geragusian F. 🟨,
  • 55', Robinson K. 🟨,
  • 62', Gordon I. , Gill T. ,
  • 63', Richards J. , Osong J. ,
  • 67', Jones H. , Hunt L. ,
  • 71', Whittaker J. 🟨,
  • 80', Geragusian F. , Campbell L. ,
  • 85', Hamilton-Forsyth C. , Burns M. ,
  • 86', Proctor T. , Bowman A. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Osong J. ,
  • 89', Green I. , Stokes G. ,
  • 90+3', Neill M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+6', Stokes G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Banks L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County U21
31.7%
Draw
23.2%
Sunderland U21
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 21.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 21% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
  • Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.28)
    3.91
    (4.37)
    2.02
    (2.44)
    10.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 28 and 24).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Derby U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.5:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21 were as follows:
    07.10.2024 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 6:0
    25.09.2023 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 3:1
    20.02.2023 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U21
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21