Result
3:1
01/11/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (162/261) | 70% (248/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (162/261) | 70% (248/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/79) | 49% (36/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (46/81) | 55% (62/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 48% (14/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -2.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Giani J. ⚽, Cerato G. (A),
- 20', Moya S. 🟨,
- 35', Retamar K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', Mottes G. 🟨,
- 53', Guzman N. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
- 54', Ortega T. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, Palavecino A. ⚽, Mottes G. (A),
- 56', Tonetto D. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
- 56', Ortega T. ↓, Amarfil M. ↑,
- 62', Barbieri J. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
- 62', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 64', Bochi R. 🟨,
- 66', Rami F. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
- 66', Serrago T. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 68', Bonifacio E. ↓, Souto P. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Cervera T. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
- 71', 3 - 1, Arce A. ⚽, Bergara M. (A),
- 80', Roman F. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aldosivi
54.5% | Draw
30% | Independiente Rivadavia
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-24.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+20.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(3.03) |
3.51 ↑
(2.79) |
7.2 ↑
(2.65) |
-4.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Independiente R will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Aldosivi (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Independiente R (2.25) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Aldosivi (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Independiente R (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Aldosivi (votes: 4 - 40%). Independiente R (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aldosivi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aldosivi is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Knee Injury)
Cabral Y.
(Yellow Cards)
De La Vega F.
(Injury)
Garcia M.
(Inactive)
Godoy F.
(Foot Injury)
Palavecino A.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Independiente R: Fernandez M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
Souto P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aldosivi won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Aldosivi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Aldosivi?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
22.04.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Aldosivi
1:0
17.06.2023
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Aldosivi
2:1
10.02.2023
Aldosivi
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:2
Latest results of Aldosivi
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
