Result
0:3
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Arellano A. 🟥,
- 13', Fernandez Sanchez J. E. 🟨,
- 31', Cantu E. 🟨,
- 45+9', Alvarez K. 🟨,
- 45+9', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 45+10', Bustos J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Mascorro H. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
- 46', Bustos J. ↓, Olaguez E. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Garcia Pardo M. ⚽, Escobar A. (A),
- 53', Wlk A. 🟨,
- 55', Cantu E. 🟨,
- 58', Calzadilla L. ↓, Carrera J. N. ↑,
- 72', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 72', Wlk A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 72', Cruz D. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Carrera J. N. (A),
- 81', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Ibarra J. ↓, Mejia L. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Mejia L. ⚽, Tovar J. (A),
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18.6% | Draw
22.7% | Atlante
58.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(4.23) |
4.15 ↑
(4.05) |
1.6 ↓
(1.66) |
6.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlante has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlante is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Atlante?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Atlante has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante were as follows:
13.02.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlante
2:0
30.08.2024
Atlante
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6:0
31.01.2024
Atlante
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
31.10.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlante
0:3
05.01.2023
Atlante
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4:0
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
