Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
04
1st Serve Percentage
68%67%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (26/32)63% (24/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (11/15)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (6/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
181 km/h202 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
154 km/h162 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (14/38)19% (6/32)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (11/19)27% (4/15)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)0% (0/0)
Winners
1117
Unforced Errors
1331
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
79% (37/47)56% (32/57)
Return Points Won
44% (25/57)21% (10/47)
Total Points Won
60% (62/104)40% (42/104)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63%
Alexei Popyrin
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.52)

    2.56
    (2.3)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 62.1%93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.
    • Davidovich Fokina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Popyrin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2