Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin
Result
2:0
11/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
04
1st Serve Percentage
68%67%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (26/32)63% (24/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (11/15)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (6/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
181 km/h202 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
154 km/h162 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (14/38)19% (6/32)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (11/19)27% (4/15)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)0% (0/0)
Winners
1117
Unforced Errors
1331
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
79% (37/47)56% (32/57)
Return Points Won
44% (25/57)21% (10/47)
Total Points Won
60% (62/104)40% (42/104)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63%
Alexei Popyrin
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.52)

    2.56
    (2.3)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 62.1%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.
    • Davidovich Fokina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Popyrin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2