Result
0:2
07/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 72% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 90% (26/29) | 75% (36/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 53% (10/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/4 | 3/3 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 28% (8/29) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 73% (19/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/3 | 2/4 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 69% (46/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 40% (22/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (54/122) | 56% (68/122) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Alexei Popyrin
26.1% | Casper Ruud
73.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.23) |
|
1.3 ↓
(1.31) |
4.6%
(7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Ruud will win (votes: 24 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 77.1% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Popyrin is ranked ATP: 45. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ruud is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Casper Ruud?
Alexei Popyrin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Alexei Popyrin?
Casper Ruud has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud were as follows:
10.04.2025
Alexei Popyrin
-
Casper Ruud
2:1
Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Vacherot V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
