Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev
Result
2:0
17/04/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
73%60%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (38/63)64% (28/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (11/23)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
36% (16/44)40% (25/63)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (18/29)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)27% (3/11)
Winners
3613
Unforced Errors
4326
Net Points Won
77% (10/13)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
57% (49/86)53% (39/73)
Return Points Won
47% (34/73)43% (37/86)
Total Points Won
52% (83/159)48% (76/159)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
48%
Andrey Rublev
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.81)

    1.83
    (1.85)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 26 - 52%). Rublev will win (votes: 24 - 48%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 38.2%65.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Rublev (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 30. Rublev is ranked ATP: 8.
    • Davidovich Fokina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Rublev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0
    28.04.2024 Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0
    15.05.2023 Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0
    01.03.2023 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev 1:2
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2