Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/04/2026 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
59%56%
1st serve points won
51% (21/41)70% (21/30)
2nd serve points won
48% (14/29)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
6/114/5
1st return points won
30% (9/30)49% (20/41)
2nd return points won
46% (11/24)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
1/55/11
Winners
1318
Unforced errors
3025
Net points won
80% (8/10)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
50% (35/70)63% (34/54)
Return Points Won
37% (20/54)50% (35/70)
Total Points Won
44% (55/124)56% (69/124)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
23.8%
Andrey Rublev
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Rublev's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (3.12)

    1.26
    (1.36)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Rublev will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 66. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2.
    • Rublev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rublev is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego 2:1
    05.11.2024 Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego 2:0
    02.06.2023 Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev 3:2
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2