Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Nava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
83%74%
1st serve points won
83% (29/35)62% (26/42)
2nd serve points won
100% (7/7)40% (6/15)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
38% (16/42)17% (6/35)
2nd return points won
60% (9/15)0% (0/7)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)0% (0/0)
Winners
1015
Unforced errors
924
Net points won
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
86% (36/42)58% (31/53)
Return Points Won
42% (22/53)14% (6/42)
Total Points Won
61% (58/95)39% (37/95)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
64.5%
Emilio Nava
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.45)

    2.66
    (2.73)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Nava will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 80.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 71. Nava is ranked ATP: 81.
    • Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Emilio Nava
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Muller A. (6)
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.
    12Taberner C.Baez S. (4)
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Tirante T. A.
    2Tabilo A.TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2