Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/02/2026 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
64%71%
1st serve points won
86% (43/50)63% (43/68)
2nd serve points won
54% (15/28)54% (15/28)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
37% (25/68)14% (7/50)
2nd return points won
46% (13/28)46% (13/28)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)33% (2/6)
Winners
2739
Unforced errors
2636
Net points won
81% (13/16)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
74% (58/78)60% (58/96)
Return Points Won
40% (38/96)26% (20/78)
Total Points Won
55% (96/174)45% (78/174)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
60.9%
Francesco Passaro
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.44)

    2.44
    (2.75)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 79.8%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Passaro is ranked ATP: 163.
    • Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Passaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro 2:0
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2