Result
2:1
18/02/2026 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 86% (43/50) | 63% (43/68) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 54% (15/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (25/68) | 14% (7/50) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 39 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (58/78) | 60% (58/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (38/96) | 26% (20/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (96/174) | 45% (78/174) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Alejandro Tabilo 60.9% | Francesco Passaro 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.44) |
|
2.44 ↓ (2.75) |
5.1% (5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 79.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Passaro is ranked ATP: 163.
- Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Passaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Francesco Passaro?
Alejandro Tabilo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Passaro won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Francesco Passaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro were as follows:
14.08.2025
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Francesco Passaro
2:0
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Latest results of Francesco Passaro
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Garin C. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Passaro F. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fonseca J. (3) | Monteiro T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. (Q) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (LL) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Lajovic D. (LL) | Altmaier D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Miguel L. (WC) | Gaubas V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Faria J. (LL) | Baez S. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Heide G. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. | Reis Da Silva J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tabilo A. | Passaro F. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. (3) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. | Lajovic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Burruchaga R. A. | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hanfmann Y. | Cerundolo J. M. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tirante T. A. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kopriva V. | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. | Buse I. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Tabilo A. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 1 : 2 |