Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (23/28) | 63% (19/30) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 36% (8/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 18% (5/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 8% (1/12) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 85% (34/40) | 52% (27/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 15% (6/40) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (59/92) | 36% (33/92) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
80.4% | Lorenzo Sonego
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Sonego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Sonego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Sonego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.36) |
|
4.82 ↑
(3.19) |
5%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Sonego?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Sonego will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7. Sonego is ranked ATP: 43.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match De Minaur is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Lorenzo Sonego?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Sonego won against Alex De Minaur?
Lorenzo Sonego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bautista-Agut R. | Munar J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. (RET.) | Mayot H. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fils A. (13) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Mensik J. (22) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Michelsen A. | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Monfils G. | Gojo B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Rublev A. (7) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | O'Connell C. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Bonzi B. | Cilic M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (27) | |
| 21 | Korda S. (23) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cina F. (WC) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Safiullin R. | Rinderknech A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Fognini F. (Q) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Ofner S. (PR) | Gaston H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Marozsan F. | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (8) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Griekspoor T. | Kopriva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Tien L. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Berrettini M. (30) | |
| 37 | Khachanov K. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Opelka R. (PR) | Hijikata R. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Fonseca J. | Moller E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Paul T. (11) | |
| 41 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Halys Q. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Goffin D. (RET.) | Muller A. | 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Humbert U. (21) | |
| 45 | Baez S. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Arnaldi M. | Coric B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Sonego L. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Vukic A. | Nishikori K. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (29) | |
| 53 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 1 |
| 55 | Etcheverry T. M. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Musetti L. (10) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Altmaier D. (Q) | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Bu Y. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 61 | Lehecka J. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Bergs Z. | Diallo G. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Majchrzak K. (LL) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Comesana F. | Fils A. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Monfils G. | Rublev A. (WO.) (7) | |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Hurkacz H. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Korda S. (23) | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Rinderknech A. | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (9) | Djere L. | |
| 14 | Cerundolo J. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (31) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cobolli F. | Rune H. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Giron M. | Berrettini M. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Khachanov K. (24) | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Darderi L. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Muller A. | Humbert U. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Baez S. (32) | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Nishikori K. | Shapovalov D. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Etcheverry T. M. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Fearnley J. | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Lehecka J. (26) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Diallo G. (LL) | Majchrzak K. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (12) | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bublik A. | Rublev A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Bonzi B. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Korda S. (23) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (31) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Berrettini M. (RET.) (30) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Khachanov K. (24) | Paul T. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Dzumhur D. | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (6) | Shapovalov D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (22) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (6) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mensik J. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (14) | Medvedev D. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (10) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Draper J. (5) | Musetti L. (10) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Ruud C. (14) | Draper J. (5) | 2 : 1 |
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