Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo
Result
0:2
11/04/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceEurosport 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
59%52%
1st Serve Points Won
32% (6/19)75% (12/16)
2nd Serve Points Won
15% (2/13)80% (12/15)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
25% (4/16)68% (13/19)
2nd Return Points Won
20% (3/15)85% (11/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)75% (6/8)
Winners
17
Unforced Errors
238
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
25% (8/32)77% (24/31)
Return Points Won
23% (7/31)75% (24/32)
Total Points Won
24% (15/63)76% (48/63)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Return Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Total Games Won
0% (0/12)100% (12/12)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
38.3%		Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.36)
    		1.53 ↓
    (1.56)    		 5.8%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3 Games - De Minaur (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +2 Games - De Minaur (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 Games - De Minaur (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 2nd Set - De Minaur (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Games - De Minaur (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Games - De Minaur (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Sets - De Minaur (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +3.5 Games - De Minaur (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - De Minaur (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Dimitrov (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (34 of 43 users predict this - 79.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.91% – 91.23%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 50 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 12%). De Minaur (votes: 44 - 88%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 1.
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    17.02.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 2:1
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    10.04.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2 ✺
    28.03.2025 Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺
    26.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    10.04.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺
    25.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺
    24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2
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