Result
1:2
25/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 63% (35/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 65% (17/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 44% (24/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 55% (6/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 75% (15/20) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (42/83) | 63% (52/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (30/82) | 49% (41/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (72/165) | 56% (93/165) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 67% (16/24) |
Chances of winning
Alex Michelsen
40% | Joao Fonseca
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.02) |
|
1.59 ↓
(1.7) |
4.5%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Fonseca will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 65.1% – 91.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Michelsen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fonseca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Fonseca will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Joao Fonseca?
Alex Michelsen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Alex Michelsen?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bautista-Agut R. | Munar J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. (RET.) | Mayot H. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fils A. (13) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Mensik J. (22) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Michelsen A. | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Monfils G. | Gojo B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Rublev A. (7) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | O'Connell C. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Bonzi B. | Cilic M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (27) | |
| 21 | Korda S. (23) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cina F. (WC) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Safiullin R. | Rinderknech A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Fognini F. (Q) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Ofner S. (PR) | Gaston H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Marozsan F. | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (8) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Griekspoor T. | Kopriva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Tien L. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Berrettini M. (30) | |
| 37 | Khachanov K. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Opelka R. (PR) | Hijikata R. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Fonseca J. | Moller E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Paul T. (11) | |
| 41 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Halys Q. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Goffin D. (RET.) | Muller A. | 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Humbert U. (21) | |
| 45 | Baez S. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Arnaldi M. | Coric B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Sonego L. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Vukic A. | Nishikori K. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (29) | |
| 53 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 1 |
| 55 | Etcheverry T. M. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Musetti L. (10) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Altmaier D. (Q) | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Bu Y. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 61 | Lehecka J. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Bergs Z. | Diallo G. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Majchrzak K. (LL) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Comesana F. | Fils A. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Monfils G. | Rublev A. (WO.) (7) | |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Hurkacz H. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Korda S. (23) | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Rinderknech A. | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (9) | Djere L. | |
| 14 | Cerundolo J. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (31) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cobolli F. | Rune H. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Giron M. | Berrettini M. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Khachanov K. (24) | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Darderi L. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Muller A. | Humbert U. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Baez S. (32) | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Nishikori K. | Shapovalov D. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Etcheverry T. M. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Fearnley J. | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Lehecka J. (26) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Diallo G. (LL) | Majchrzak K. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (12) | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bublik A. | Rublev A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Bonzi B. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Korda S. (23) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (31) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Berrettini M. (RET.) (30) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Khachanov K. (24) | Paul T. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Dzumhur D. | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (6) | Shapovalov D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (22) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (6) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mensik J. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (14) | Medvedev D. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (10) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Draper J. (5) | Musetti L. (10) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Ruud C. (14) | Draper J. (5) | 2 : 1 |
