Result
1:2
25/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 63% (35/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 65% (17/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 44% (24/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 55% (6/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 75% (15/20) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (42/83) | 63% (52/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (30/82) | 49% (41/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (72/165) | 56% (93/165) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 67% (16/24) |
Chances of winning
Alex Michelsen
40% | Joao Fonseca
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.02) |
|
1.59 ↓
(1.7) |
4.5%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Fonseca will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 65.1% – 91.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Michelsen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fonseca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Fonseca will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Joao Fonseca?
Alex Michelsen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Alex Michelsen?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (RET.) (32) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (WO.) (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Norrie C. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kopriva V. | Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (27) | Jodar R. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Prizmic D. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Fils A. (21) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (11) | Michelsen A. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Blockx A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (7) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Vallejo D. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (13) | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 16 | Atmane T. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Norrie C. (19) | |
| 2 | Kopriva V. | Jodar R. | |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | Fils A. (21) | |
| 4 | Lehecka J. (11) | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 5 | Tsitsipas S. | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (16) | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (7) | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
