Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/03/2024 at 17:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (24/35)75% (27/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (7/24)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
25% (9/36)31% (11/35)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)71% (17/24)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)50% (4/8)
Winners
1221
Unforced Errors
1412
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)76% (16/21)
Max Points In Row
54
Service Points Won
53% (31/59)65% (40/62)
Return Points Won
35% (22/62)47% (28/59)
Total Points Won
44% (53/121)56% (68/121)
Max Games In Row
25
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
54.1%
Matteo Arnaldi
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.91)

    2.08
    (1.91)
    4.7%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 11 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 62.2%87.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    01.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Bublik A. awarded
    29.02.2024 Alexander Bublik - Jiri Lehecka Bublik A. retired
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)