Alexandre Muller vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (31/42)70% (28/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (14/21)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (12/40)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (12/23)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/3)
Winners
2317
Unforced Errors
2921
Net Points Won
94% (15/16)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
71% (45/63)62% (39/63)
Return Points Won
38% (24/63)29% (18/63)
Total Points Won
55% (69/126)45% (57/126)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
51.8%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.73)

    1.97
    (2.12)
    5.7%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.7%80.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Muller (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ugo Carabelli (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2