Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (31/42) | 70% (28/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (12/40) | 26% (11/42) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 33% (7/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 100% (4/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (45/63) | 62% (39/63) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 29% (18/63) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (69/126) | 45% (57/126) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Alexandre Muller
51.8% | Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.97 ↓
(2.12) |
5.7%
(5.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Muller (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alexandre Muller won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Alexandre Muller has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Alexandre Muller?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
Latest results of Alexandre Muller
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (Q) | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (RET.) (10) | Borges N. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Martinez P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (6) | |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Struff J-L. | Vacherot V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Jarry N. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (9) | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Muller A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Etcheverry T. M. | Moutet C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Popyrin A. | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bautista-Agut R. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 25 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Griekspoor T. | Fils A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Auger-Aliassime F. (16) | Altmaier D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Arnaldi M. | Gasquet R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fognini F. (WC) | Cerundolo F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Thompson J. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Machac T. | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Etcheverry T. M. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Ruud C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cobolli F. | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gasquet R. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Cerundolo F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Berrettini M. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (7) | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (15) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fils A. (12) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | De Minaur A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
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