Alexandre Muller vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (31/42)70% (28/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (14/21)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (12/40)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (12/23)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/3)
Winners
2317
Unforced Errors
2921
Net Points Won
94% (15/16)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
71% (45/63)62% (39/63)
Return Points Won
38% (24/63)29% (18/63)
Total Points Won
55% (69/126)45% (57/126)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
51.8%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.73)

    1.97
    (2.12)
    5.7%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.7%80.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Muller (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2