Alexandre Muller vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (31/42)70% (28/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (14/21)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (12/40)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (12/23)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/3)
Winners
2317
Unforced Errors
2921
Net Points Won
94% (15/16)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
71% (45/63)62% (39/63)
Return Points Won
38% (24/63)29% (18/63)
Total Points Won
55% (69/126)45% (57/126)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
51.8%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.73)

    1.97
    (2.12)
    5.7%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.7%80.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ugo Carabelli (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2