Daniil Medvedev vs Alexandre Muller – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/04/2025 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
56%57%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (42/58)61% (42/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (19/45)49% (26/53)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
39% (27/69)28% (16/58)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (27/53)58% (26/45)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)67% (4/6)
Winners
2829
Unforced Errors
4747
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
59% (61/103)56% (68/122)
Return Points Won
44% (54/122)41% (42/103)
Total Points Won
51% (115/225)49% (110/225)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
64.1%
Alexandre Muller
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.5)

    2.64
    (2.57)
    5.9%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Muller will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 61.6%91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Muller (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Muller (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -3.5 Games - Medvedev (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -4 Games - Muller (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Sets - Medvedev (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Muller (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Muller is ranked ATP: 39.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller were as follows:
    03.07.2024 Alexandre Muller - Daniil Medvedev 1:3
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2