Result
2:1
09/04/2025 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (42/58) | 61% (42/69) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 49% (26/53) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 50% (5/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 28% (16/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 58% (26/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 56% (68/122) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (54/122) | 41% (42/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (115/225) | 49% (110/225) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
64.1% | Alexandre Muller
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
|
2.64 ↑
(2.57) |
5.9%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Muller will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 61.6% – 91.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Muller (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Muller (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -3.5 Games - Medvedev (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -4 Games - Muller (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 Sets - Medvedev (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Muller (votes: 9 - 40.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Muller is ranked ATP: 39.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alexandre Muller?
Daniil Medvedev has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexandre Muller won against Daniil Medvedev?
Alexandre Muller has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller were as follows:
03.07.2024
Alexandre Muller
-
Daniil Medvedev
1:3
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Alexandre Muller
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Vacherot V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
