Alexandre Muller vs Felix Aliassime-Auger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger
Result
1:2
22/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
spainSpainM+ Deportes 2, Movistar Deportes 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
06
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
72%62%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (54/78)72% (51/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (14/31)52% (23/44)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
28% (20/71)31% (24/78)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (21/44)55% (17/31)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)33% (4/12)
Winners
1840
Unforced Errors
3561
Net Points Won
60% (9/15)76% (16/21)
Service Points Won
62% (68/109)64% (73/114)
Return Points Won
36% (41/114)38% (41/109)
Total Points Won
49% (109/223)51% (114/223)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
34.8%
Felix Aliassime-Auger
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.1)

    1.46
    (1.67)
    5.3%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 40. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 30.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Aliassime-Auger might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muller won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2