Alexei Popyrin vs Jacob Fearnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Geneva Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley
Result
2:0
21/05/2025 at 12:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
79%74%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)72% (23/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (7/13)55% (6/11)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
28% (9/32)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (5/11)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)14% (1/7)
Winners
1115
Unforced Errors
1025
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
68% (43/63)67% (29/43)
Return Points Won
33% (14/43)32% (20/63)
Total Points Won
54% (57/106)46% (49/106)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
49.9%
Jacob Fearnley
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.05)

    1.89
    (1.77)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley?
  • Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jacob Fearnley will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 54.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Munar J.Halys Q.1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    4Cazaux A. (WC)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (4)Bye
    6Nishikori K.Tien L.2 : 1
    7Ofner S. (Q)Gakhov I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Borges N.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Popyrin A. (5)Jarry N.2 : 1
    10Lajovic D. (WC)Fearnley J.0 : 2
    11Norrie C. (Q)Stricker D. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Arnaldi M. (8)Gaston H.2 : 1
    14Sell K. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    15Fucsovics M.Bergs Z.2 : 0
    16ByeDjokovic N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Halys Q.2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    3Khachanov K. (4)Nishikori K. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Ofner S.Borges N.2 : 0
    5Popyrin A. (5)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    6Norrie C.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Arnaldi M. (8)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    8Fucsovics M.Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (4)Ofner S.1 : 2
    3Popyrin A. (5)Norrie C.0 : 2
    4Arnaldi M. (8)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Ofner S.2 : 0
    2Norrie C.Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2