Result
1:2
27/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 49% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 85% (50/59) | 88% (51/58) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 47% (28/60) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/3 | 6/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 12% (7/58) | 15% (9/59) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 50% (21/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/9 | 2/3 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (71/101) | 67% (79/118) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (39/118) | 30% (30/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (110/219) | 50% (109/219) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Alexis Galarneau
57.6% | Luka Pavlovic
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Pavlovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.61) |
|
2.2 ↓
(2.23) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic?
Users Predictions:
Alexis Galarneau will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Galarneau is ranked ATP: 209. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 219.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Galarneau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Luka Pavlovic?
Alexis Galarneau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Alexis Galarneau?
Luka Pavlovic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic were as follows:
13.10.2025
Alexis Galarneau
-
Luka Pavlovic
0:2
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Huesler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zhukayev B. | Vandecasteele Q. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Krueger M. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Wong C. (4) | Mejia N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kozlov S. | Martin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Polmans M. (Q) | Mena F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Crawford O. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Smith K. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Ficovich J. P. | Alves M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Catry R. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bu Y. (7) | Wiskandt M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Galarneau A. | Tobon M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Magadan A. (WC) | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pavlovic L. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Vandecasteele Q. | Gojo B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mejia N. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Polmans M. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Ficovich J. P. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Andrade A. | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bu Y. (7) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Magadan A. | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mejia N. | Rodesch C. (RET.) (6) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Mejia N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 0 |
