Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Aragon TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ebro
62.9% | Draw
23.6% | Alfaro
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Ebro - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.55) |
3.88 ↑
(3.74) |
6.79 ↑
(5.77) |
9.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Ebro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alfaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ebro is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ebro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ebro won against Alfaro?
Ebro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Ebro?
Alfaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ebro - Alfaro were as follows:
21.12.2025
Alfaro
-
Ebro
0:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 50:24 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 51 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 61:28 | 33 | 50 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 49:36 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46:32 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Sestao | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Ebro | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 37:29 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Eibar B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Gernika | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 11 | Naxara | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Basconia | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Ejea | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | SD Logrones | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 20:34 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 29 |
| 16 | Beasain | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22:48 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22:46 | -24 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
