Peña Balsamaiso vs Alfaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro
Result
0:4
03/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Peña Balsamaiso
19.2%
Draw
24.2%
Alfaro
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.6% 22.7% 62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 22.1% 64.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.68
    (6.22)
    3.73
    (4)
    1.59
    (1.45)
    10.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Peña Balsamaiso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alfaro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Alfaro is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro were as follows:
    15.10.2023 Alfaro - Peña Balsamaiso 4:0
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Latest results of Alfaro
    25.02.2024 Alfaro - Vianés 4:1
    18.02.2024 Racing Rioja - Alfaro 1:3
    11.02.2024 Alfaro - Varea 1:1
    04.02.2024 Haro Deportivo - Alfaro 0:3
    28.01.2024 Alfaro - La Calzada 4:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2