Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Paris Challenger Women 2025 Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Lourdes Carle
Result
2:0
12/05/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
65%70%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (25/35)61% (28/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)20% (4/20)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
39% (18/46)29% (10/35)
2nd Return Points Won
80% (16/20)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
63% (34/54)48% (32/66)
Return Points Won
52% (34/66)37% (20/54)
Total Points Won
57% (68/120)43% (52/120)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Aliaksandra Sasnovich
50.4%
Maria Lourdes Carle
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.1)

    1.89
    (1.67)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sasnovich (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 99. Carle is ranked WTA: 122.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sasnovich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle