Result
2:0
11/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (209/285) | 66% (203/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (209/285) | 66% (203/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 32% (24/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/107) | 44% (36/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Perez J. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 3', 2 - 0, Espinosa R. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
- 21', Olmedo L. 🟨,
- 30', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vega J. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 46', Vasquez A. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 53', del Castillo J. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
- 55', Espinosa R. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 62', Serra P. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
- 72', Perez J. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 72', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 73', Olmedo L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
- 76', Perleche E. 🟨,
- 84', Mejia C. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 89', Lupu H. 🟥,
- 90+3', Rosell Delgado J. A. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
63.4% | Draw
23.2% | Cajamarca
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4%)
Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.56) |
3.6 ↓
(4.14) |
6.18 ↑
(5.31) |
18%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cajamarca (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Recent performances by Alianza Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Atlético is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Fernandez S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Atlético?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca were as follows:
08.03.2025
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
01.08.2024
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
16.02.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cajamarca
2:0
14.07.2023
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
12.02.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cajamarca
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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