Alianza Atlético vs Cajamarca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca
Result
2:0
11/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.36
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
73% (209/285)66% (203/309)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.41
Total shots
155
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
73% (209/285)66% (203/309)
Long passes
46% (26/56)32% (24/74)
Passes in final third
64% (69/107)44% (36/81)
Crosses
31% (5/16)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.36
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1511
Tackles
71% (5/7)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.411.36
Goals prevented
0.41-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Perez J. , Olmedo L. (A),
  • 3', 2 - 0, Espinosa R. , Graneros A. (A),
  • 21', Olmedo L. 🟨,
  • 30', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vega J. , Balanta G. ,
  • 46', Vasquez A. , Cantt J. ,
  • 53', del Castillo J. , Gordillo A. ,
  • 55', Espinosa R. , Perez M. ,
  • 62', Serra P. , Oncoy F. ,
  • 72', Perez J. , Lupu H. ,
  • 72', Graneros A. , Diaz R. ,
  • 73', Olmedo L. , Illanes F. ,
  • 76', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 84', Mejia C. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 89', Lupu H. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Rosell Delgado J. A. , Palacios B. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
63.4%
Draw
23.2%
Cajamarca
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 22.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 22.2% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.56)
    3.6
    (4.14)
    6.18
    (5.31)
    18%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cajamarca (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Recent performances by Alianza Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Atlético is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Fernandez S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    01.08.2024 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1
    16.02.2024 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca 2:0
    14.07.2023 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1
    12.02.2023 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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