Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (322/387) | 84% (308/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (322/387) | 84% (308/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 59% (43/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (75/121) | 66% (55/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Camacho D. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Arce L. ↓, Figuera A. ↑,
- 57', Figuera A. 🟨,
- 62', Dioses D. 🟨,
- 63', Perez J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 65', Camacho D. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 69', Flores F. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
- 69', Penilla C. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 75', de Jesus M. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 75', Munoz A. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 75', Huerto J. 🟨,
- 83', Gordillo A. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 83', Lupu H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
- 85', Suarez R. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
46.6% | Draw
30.4% | Alianza Atlético
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cajamarca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.99) |
3.02 ↓
(3.19) |
4 ↑
(3.81) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
Cajamarca will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cajamarca is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Caro D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Munoz A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Atlético?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Atlético has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
11.08.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Cajamarca
2:0
08.03.2025
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
01.08.2024
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
16.02.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cajamarca
2:0
14.07.2023
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
