Alianza Atlético vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes
Result
0:2
01/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.32
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
52% (116/225)75% (341/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.19
Total shots
516
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
830
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
52% (116/225)75% (341/452)
Long passes
29% (25/85)51% (47/92)
Passes in final third
44% (32/73)63% (111/175)
Crosses
23% (3/13)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.46
Throw-ins
1228
Fouls
1115
Tackles
79% (11/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4567
Clearances
4924
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.190.00
Goals prevented
-0.810.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Murrugarra J. , Castillo J. ,
  • 65', Inga C. , Carabali J. ,
  • 65', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 67', Vasquez C. , Olmedo L. ,
  • 67', Perez J. , Perleche E. ,
  • 69', Castro R. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Perez M. ,
  • 73', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 74', Perez M. , Velez J. ,
  • 76', Fernandez S. 🟨,
  • 81', Lupu H. , Flores F. ,
  • 82', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Perez M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Rivera J. , Concha J. (A),
  • 88', Gordillo A. , Cossio A. ,
  • 88', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
15.6%
Draw
25.7%
Universitario de Deportes
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 28.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 27% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.
  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.43
    (3.75)
    3.74
    (3.32)
    1.55
    (2)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Alianza Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Costa G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 0:1
    15.09.2024 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 0:3
    05.04.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    03.07.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    14.05.2023 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 3:1
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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