Result
0:2
01/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (25/85) | 51% (47/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 63% (111/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', Murrugarra J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 65', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
- 65', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 67', Vasquez C. ↓, Olmedo L. ↑,
- 67', Perez J. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
- 69', Castro R. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
- 73', Perez M. 🟨,
- 74', Perez M. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez S. 🟨,
- 81', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 82', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 88', Gordillo A. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
- 88', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
15.6% | Draw
25.7% | Universitario de Deportes
58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.87 ↑
(3.75) |
3.66 ↑
(3.32) |
1.63 ↓
(2) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Uni de Deportes (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universitario de Deportes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Alianza Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Costa G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Universitario de Deportes?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Atlético?
Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
11.05.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
15.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:3
05.04.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
1:0
03.07.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
14.05.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
3:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
