Result
0:2
01/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.16 | 1.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.16 | 1.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
1 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (25/85) | 51% (47/92) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (32/73) | 63% (111/175) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 21% (6/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 67 |
Clearances |
---|
49 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.19 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.81 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', Murrugarra J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 65', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
- 65', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 67', Vasquez C. ↓, Olmedo L. ↑,
- 67', Perez J. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
- 69', Castro R. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
- 73', Perez M. 🟨,
- 74', Perez M. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez S. 🟨,
- 81', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 82', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 88', Gordillo A. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
- 88', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético 15.6% | Draw 25.7% | Universitario de Deportes 58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.43 ↑ (3.75) |
3.74 ↑ (3.32) |
1.55 ↓ (2) |
6.7% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Alianza Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Costa G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Universitario de Deportes?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Atlético?
Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
11.05.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
15.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:3
05.04.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
1:0
03.07.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
14.05.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
3:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )