Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (222/271) | 86% (361/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (222/271) | 86% (361/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 67% (68/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
- 38', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 41', Mena Y. 🟨,
- 43', Campodonico R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Campodonico R. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
- 51', Iraola G. 🟨,
- 53', Escobar J. 🟨,
- 56', Barcos H. 🟥,
- 63', Aquino P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 65', Quevedo K. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 80', Cantero A. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 80', Pena S. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 83', Escobar J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
- 86', Enrique G. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 90+2', Lliuya M. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 90+2', Fuentes P. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
- 90+8', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 90+8', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
26.3% | Draw
27.2% | Alianza Lima
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(3.39) |
3.42 ↑
(3.33) |
1.98 ↓
(2.11) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Alianza Lima (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1.
- Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez A.
(Yellow Cards)
Gomez A.
(Red Card)
Gomez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Alianza Lima?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima were as follows:
19.05.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
