Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.75
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	5
Passes
82% (222/271)	86% (361/420)
Yellow Cards
7	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.06	0.36
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	5
Touches in opposition box
11	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
7	18
Passes
82% (222/271)	86% (361/420)
Long passes
31% (16/51)	40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
58% (28/48)	67% (68/102)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.82
Throw-ins
11	21
Fouls
18	7
Tackles
75% (6/8)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
30	35
Clearances
35	11
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.36	1.06
Goals prevented
-0.64	-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
38', Gomez A. 🟨,
41', Mena Y. 🟨,
43', Campodonico R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campodonico R. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
51', Iraola G. 🟨,
53', Escobar J. 🟨,
56', Barcos H. 🟥,
63', Aquino P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
65', Quevedo K. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
80', Cantero A. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
80', Pena S. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
83', Escobar J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
86', Enrique G. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
90+2', Lliuya M. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
90+2', Fuentes P. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
90+8', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
90+8', Ampuero A. 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
26.3%

Draw
27.2%

Alianza Lima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.39)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	7.6% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1.
Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez A. (Yellow Cards) Gomez A. (Red Card) Gomez R. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Alianza Lima?

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima were as follows:

19.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0

Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

30.09.2025 Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 5:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys 2:3 ✺

18.09.2025 Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano 0:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Lima

01.10.2025 Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Cienciano - Alianza Lima 2:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos 4:0 ✺

18.09.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad de Chile 0:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	12	9	3	0	23:8	15	30
2	Cusco	12	7	2	3	19:11	8	23
3	AD Tarma	13	6	3	4	17:17	0	21
4	Sporting Cristal	11	5	4	2	20:8	12	19
5	FBC Melgar	13	4	6	3	18:13	5	18
6	Alianza Lima	12	5	3	4	18:14	4	18
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	4	6	2	16:16	0	18
8	Alianza Atl	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
9	Comerciantes Unidos	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
10	Sport Huancayo	13	4	3	6	23:22	1	15
11	Cienciano	11	4	3	4	16:15	1	15
12	Grau	12	4	3	5	16:15	1	15
13	Los Chankas	11	5	0	6	14:24	-10	15
14	Alianza Huanuco	12	4	1	7	14:24	-10	13
15	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
16	Juan Pablo II	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
17	Ayacucho	12	3	2	7	10:19	-9	11
18	Cajamarca	11	1	3	7	9:16	-7	6
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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