Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (136/234) | 82% (377/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (136/234) | 82% (377/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (41/78) | 73% (104/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', de la Cruz P. 🟥,
- 42', 0 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Huaman M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Antoni M. 🟨,
- 62', Delgadillo N. ↓, Vásquez C. ↑,
- 62', de la Cruz A. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
- 65', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 74', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 74', Guarderas R. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
- 74', Cantero A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 75', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 80', Gaibor F. 🟨,
- 82', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
- 84', Gaibor F. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
- 84', Velez J. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
18.7% | Draw
29.3% | Alianza Lima
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(4.36) |
3.19 ↑
(3.05) |
1.8 ↓
(1.94) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
- In recent matches, Grau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Garces R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Lima?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Atlético Grau?
Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima were as follows:
01.10.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
10.05.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
18.09.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
14.04.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
23.06.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 32 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Cusco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | AD Tarma | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Cajamarca | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Moquegua | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
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