Result
16/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
38.7% | Draw
30.6% | Grêmio
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Alianza Lima - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.42) |
3.02 ↓
(3.05) |
3.1 ↑
(3.07) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Alianza Lima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grêmio is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Grêmio?
Alianza Lima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Alianza Lima?
Grêmio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Grêmio were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Independiente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 | Boston River | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 3 | Vitoria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Huracan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Godoy Cruz | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Grau | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Palestino | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | U. Espanola | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | GV San Jose | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Deportes Iquique | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
