Result
18/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
56.1% | Draw
25.3% | Grêmio
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Cruzeiro - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.71) |
3.73 ↑
(3.48) |
5.04 ↑
(4.68) |
6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
- Cruzeiro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grêmio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Grêmio?
Cruzeiro has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Cruzeiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Grêmio were as follows:
05.11.2025
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
13.07.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
4:1
27.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
1:1
10.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
27.08.2023
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
