Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (268/312) | 90% (410/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (268/312) | 90% (410/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (74/100) | 68% (48/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 44', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 44', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Gerson (A),
- 57', Nardoni J. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 61', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 61', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Romero L. ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 68', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 71', Noriega E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 71', Enamorado J. ↓, Tete ↑,
- 71', Amuzu F. ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
- 75', Christian ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 75', Romero L. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 77', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
- 84', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
- 85', Perez L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lucas Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
55.9% | Draw
25.4% | Grêmio
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Cruzeiro - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.71) |
3.73 ↑
(3.48) |
5.07 ↑
(4.68) |
5.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Knee Injury)
Kaio Jorge
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Marlon
(Broken ankle)
Viery
(Red Card)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Willian
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Grêmio?
Cruzeiro has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Cruzeiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Grêmio were as follows:
05.11.2025
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
13.07.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
4:1
27.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
1:1
10.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
27.08.2023
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
