Result
1:2
31/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (148/265) | 77% (352/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (148/265) | 77% (352/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/76) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (44/93) | 70% (123/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', Toledo J. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Alfani R. ⚽, Tizon C. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Quevedo K. ⚽, Ceppelini P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Quevedo K. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
- 74', Fernandez R. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 75', Affonso M. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
- 75', Ramirez C. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
- 84', Quevedo K. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 88', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 88', Ceppelini P. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
- 90+7', Tizon C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juan Pablo II College
13.7% | Draw
22.9% | Alianza Lima
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.72 ↑
(3.9) |
3.99 ↑
(3.55) |
1.49 ↓
(1.88) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Juan Pablo II: Rodriguez N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J.
(Broken nose)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cari P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Alianza Lima?
Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Juan Pablo II College?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima were as follows:
21.02.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Juan Pablo II College
1:0
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
