Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.66
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
82% (312/379)	71% (178/252)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	0.13
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
7	17
Passes
82% (312/379)	71% (178/252)
Long passes
61% (41/67)	45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)	54% (45/83)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.45	0.76
Throw-ins
18	19
Fouls
17	7
Tackles
68% (17/25)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
52	31
Clearances
25	17
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.13	1.23
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Chaverra F. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
30', Julio R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Julio R. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
46', Masllorens J. ↓, Colorado J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Fernandez W. (A),
54', Lucumi C. 🟨,
64', Monaco M. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
66', Valencia J. 🟥,
72', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
72', Manjarres R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
72', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
77', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
77', Gil M. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', Suarez K. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
83', Torres E. 🟨,
84', Torres E. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
84', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mswbep5v

Chances of winning

Alianza Valledupar
64.1%

Draw
22.6%

Deportivo La Equidad
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

20%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	4.09 ↑ (3.66)	7.02 ↑ (5.93)	6.6% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
La Equidad is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Alianza Valledupar?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:

02.05.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 0:2

02.11.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 3:2

14.04.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 0:3

23.08.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0

04.03.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 1:1

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

18.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar 3:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Envigado - Alianza Valledupar 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

20.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 3:2 ✺

06.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 0:4 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
5	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
6	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
7	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
8	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
9	Junior	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	12	3	5	4	13:18	-5	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Cucuta	13	1	5	7	18:27	-9	8
19	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
20	Pereira	12	0	6	6	12:24	-12	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )