Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.66
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
82% (312/379)71% (178/252)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.13
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
717
Passes
82% (312/379)71% (178/252)
Long passes
61% (41/67)45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)54% (45/83)
Crosses
25% (5/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.76
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
177
Tackles
68% (17/25)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5231
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.131.23
Goals prevented
0.13-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Chaverra F. , Micolta Piedahita J. ,
  • 30', Julio R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Munoz J. , Torres E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Julio R. , Abonia Y. ,
  • 46', Masllorens J. , Colorado J. ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Torres E. , Fernandez W. (A),
  • 54', Lucumi C. 🟨,
  • 64', Monaco M. , Banguero E. ,
  • 66', Valencia J. 🟥,
  • 72', Fernandez W. , Munoz J. ,
  • 72', Manjarres R. , Perez L. ,
  • 72', Munoz J. , Gil M. ,
  • 77', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
  • 77', Gil M. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', Suarez K. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 83', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 84', Torres E. , Valoyes J. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez F. , Mayo S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mswbep5v

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
64.1%
Draw
22.6%
Deportivo La Equidad
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 25.2% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 20% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.56)
    4.09
    (3.66)
    7.02
    (5.93)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
    • Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • La Equidad is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 0:2
    02.11.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 3:2
    14.04.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 0:3
    23.08.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0
    04.03.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 1:1
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1953114:12218
    2Dep. Pasto953112:10218
    3America De Cali851214:5916
    4Once Caldas944116:10616
    5Atl. Nacional750215:51015
    6Junior850314:10415
    7Deportes Tolima943211:7415
    8Bucaramanga835012:5714
    9Dep. Cali933311:8312
    10Aguilas83329:8112
    11Millonarios932413:11211
    12Fortaleza925210:13-311
    13Llaneros82429:8110
    14Santa Fe924310:12-210
    15Jaguares de Cordoba83148:15-710
    16Ind. Medellin914411:14-37
    17Cucuta913514:19-56
    18Pereira80448:16-84
    19Chico91177:16-94
    20Alianza80353:17-143

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