Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (312/379) | 71% (178/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (312/379) | 71% (178/252) |
| Long passes |
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| 61% (41/67) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (77/106) | 54% (45/83) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (5/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.45 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 68% (17/25) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 52 | 31 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Chaverra F. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 30', Julio R. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Julio R. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
- 46', Masllorens J. ↓, Colorado J. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Fernandez W. (A),
- 54', Lucumi C. 🟨,
- 64', Monaco M. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 66', Valencia J. 🟥,
- 72', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 72', Manjarres R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 72', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 77', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
- 77', Gil M. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 77', Suarez K. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 83', Torres E. 🟨,
- 84', Torres E. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mswbep5v
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 64.1% | Draw 22.6% | Deportivo La Equidad 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.56) |
4.09 ↑ (3.66) |
7.02 ↑ (5.93) |
6.6% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
- Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- La Equidad is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
02.05.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:2
02.11.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:2
14.04.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:3
23.08.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
04.03.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )