Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
60.7%
Draw
24.4%
Alianza Valledupar
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 22.6% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 21.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.48)
    3.84
    (4.12)
    6.2
    (6.5)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.
    • In recent matches, Junior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alianza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Junior is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    04.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:2
    04.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    14.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 1:5
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1953114:12218
    2Dep. Pasto953112:10218
    3America De Cali851214:5916
    4Once Caldas944116:10616
    5Atl. Nacional750215:51015
    6Junior850314:10415
    7Deportes Tolima943211:7415
    8Bucaramanga835012:5714
    9Dep. Cali933311:8312
    10Aguilas83329:8112
    11Millonarios932413:11211
    12Fortaleza925210:13-311
    13Llaneros82429:8110
    14Santa Fe924310:12-210
    15Jaguares de Cordoba83148:15-710
    16Ind. Medellin914411:14-37
    17Cucuta913514:19-56
    18Pereira80448:16-84
    19Chico91177:16-94
    20Alianza80353:17-143

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )