Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/04/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.16
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
17	18
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
89% (413/465)	85% (345/404)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	0.58
Total shots
17	18
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
9	11
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
16	27
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
89% (413/465)	85% (345/404)
Long passes
63% (36/57)	39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
78% (80/102)	72% (80/111)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	1.03
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
67% (8/12)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
37	35
Clearances Total
29	14
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
0.58	2.02
Goals prevented
0.59	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Castrillon B. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
45', Baez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Pardo F. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
57', Gonzalez L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
57', Bacca C. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
58', Martinez M. 🟨,
62', Gil M. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
62', Martinez M. ↓, Vergara C. ↑,
62', Torres E. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
66', Gutierrez T. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
67', Chara Y. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
69', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
71', Castrillon B. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
90+2', Rivera D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
56%

Draw
26.6%

Alianza Valledupar
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.7%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.67)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)	5.33 ↑ (5.24)	6.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Junior (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Junior won 4.
Junior is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Alianza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Junior is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Junior to win the game is with odds 1.6.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Junior won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29:12 (average 1.5:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.5:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Alianza Valledupar?

Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Junior Barranquilla?

Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

04.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:2

04.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1

14.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 1:5

03.04.2023 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

25.09.2022 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

15.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla 3:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0 ✺

31.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla 0:1 ✺

26.03.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

15.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar 0:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar 2:0 ✺

26.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Fortaleza	5	2	3	0	8:6	2	9
4	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
5	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
6	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
7	Pereira	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
8	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
10	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Alianza	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
12	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
13	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
14	Bucaramanga	3	1	1	1	6:5	1	4
15	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
16	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
17	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
18	Aguilas	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3
19	Once Caldas	4	0	1	3	5:9	-4	1
20	Millonarios	3	0	0	3	0:3	-3	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )