Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/408) | 73% (196/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/408) | 73% (196/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (36/62) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/115) | 61% (45/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Suarez K. 🟨,
- 45+7', Baez C. 🟨,
- 45+8', Torres E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Titi ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 46', Rivera H. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
- 47', Lucumi C. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 1, Herrera E. (Pen),
- 50', Franco P. 🟨,
- 54', Guerrero J. 🟨,
- 62', Guerrero J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 64', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 65', Suarez K. ↓, Saldana L. ↑,
- 73', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 75', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 80', Rivas J. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 88', Paiva G. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 90+2', Manjarres R. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 90+3', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 90+4', Moreno D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mub425pn
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
39% | Draw
31.3% | Junior Barranquilla
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.76) |
3.01 ↑
(2.99) |
3.16 ↑
(2.71) |
6.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Junior has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:31. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Junior Barranquilla?
Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Alianza Valledupar?
Junior Barranquilla has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
19.04.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
04.08.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:2
04.02.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
14.09.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:5
03.04.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
