Result
1:1
05/03/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/429) | 66% (144/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/429) | 66% (144/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 27% (15/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Barrios C. ⚽,
- 41', Suarez Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Munoz J. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Muriel L. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 64', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 72', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 79', Paiva G. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
- 79', Barrios C. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 80', Guerrero J. 🟨,
- 80', Londono Y. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 81', Wallens J. 🟨,
- 83', Celis G. 🟨,
- 87', Suarez Y. ↓, Socarras D. ↑,
- 89', Castillo J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
- 90', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lucumi C. ↓, Franco P. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/399yex38
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla 61.3% | Draw 24% | Alianza Valledupar 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1%)
Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.48) |
3.92 ↓ (4.12) |
6.32 ↓ (6.5) |
7.2% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.
- Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alianza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Alianza Valledupar?
Junior Barranquilla has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Junior Barranquilla?
Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
12.10.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
19.04.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
04.08.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:2
04.02.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
14.09.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:5
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Junior | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Pereira | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )