Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/03/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.351.39
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
124
Passes
77% (330/429)66% (144/219)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.351.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.91
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1210
Passes
77% (330/429)66% (144/219)
Long passes
47% (21/45)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)52% (30/58)
Crosses
17% (5/30)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.47
Throw ins
2217
Fouls
1012
Tackles
100% (11/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.910.23
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Barrios C. ,
  • 41', Suarez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Munoz J. , Pardo F. ,
  • 46', Esparragoza C. , Cantillo F. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', Muriel L. , Gutierrez T. ,
  • 64', Rivas J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 72', Cantillo F. 🟨,
  • 79', Paiva G. , Bacca C. ,
  • 79', Barrios C. , Castrillon B. ,
  • 80', Guerrero J. 🟨,
  • 80', Londono Y. , Villegas C. ,
  • 81', Wallens J. 🟨,
  • 83', Celis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Suarez Y. , Socarras D. ,
  • 89', Castillo J. , Meza Mercado E. W. ,
  • 90', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lucumi C. , Franco P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/399yex38

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
61.3%
Draw
24%
Alianza Valledupar
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 22.6% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 21.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.48)
    3.92
    (4.12)
    6.32
    (6.5)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.
    • Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alianza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    04.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:2
    04.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    14.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 1:5
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1290326:91727
    2Dep. Pasto1383220:15527
    3Once Caldas1365224:17723
    4Junior1371519:18122
    5Inter Bogotu00e11356217:18-121
    6Millonarios1362523:14920
    7America De Cali1162316:8820
    8Deportes Tolima1255215:9620
    9Bucaramanga1247116:8819
    10Dep. Cali1344514:12216
    11Aguilas1244412:12016
    12Llaneros1236314:13115
    13Santa Fe1236314:15-115
    14Fortaleza1335514:20-614
    15Ind. Medellin1234516:17-113
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1332811:23-1211
    17Alianza122557:19-1211
    18Cucuta1315718:27-98
    19Chico1222810:20-108
    20Pereira1206612:24-126

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )