Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (260/322) | 87% (363/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (260/322) | 87% (363/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 79% (88/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Marquez R. ⚽, Murillo D. (A),
- 24', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
- 39', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 41', Martinez M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Giraldo J. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
- 46', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
- 46', Mina L. M. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 46', Perez L. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Fernandez W. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 57', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Iguaran C. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Lucumi C. ⚽,
- 65', Moreno K. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 67', Franco P. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
- 76', Torres E. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
- 81', Cantillo F. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
- 86', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Lucumi C. ⚽, Manjarres R. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/m2ed8e2u
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
36.7% | Draw
30.3% | Alianza Valledupar
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5%)
Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.75) |
3.05 ↓
(3.2) |
2.86 ↑
(2.5) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
- Unión Magdalena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Alianza Valledupar?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Unión Magdalena?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
08.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Unión Magdalena
1:0
26.08.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
12.03.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
