Unión Magdalena vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/08/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.24
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
81% (260/322)	87% (363/419)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	2.05
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
18	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
81% (260/322)	87% (363/419)
Long passes
50% (32/64)	40% (16/40)
Passes in final third
72% (81/112)	79% (88/111)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	1.32
Throw-ins
12	13
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
70% (7/10)	100% (4/4)
Duels won
34	23
Clearances
17	17
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
2.05	1.56
Goals prevented
-0.95	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Marquez R. ⚽, Murillo D. (A),
24', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
39', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
41', Martinez M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Giraldo J. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
46', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
46', Mina L. M. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
46', Perez L. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Fernandez W. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
57', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Iguaran C. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Lucumi C. ⚽,
65', Moreno K. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
67', Franco P. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
76', Torres E. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
81', Cantillo F. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
86', Munoz J. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Lucumi C. ⚽, Manjarres R. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/m2ed8e2u

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
36.7%

Draw
30.3%

Alianza Valledupar
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5%)

Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.5)	7.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
Unión Magdalena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alianza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Alianza Valledupar?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Unión Magdalena?

Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

08.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Unión Magdalena 1:0

26.08.2023 Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar 2:0

12.03.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Unión Magdalena 2:1

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

20.08.2025 Millonarios - Unión Magdalena 1:2 ✺

13.08.2025 Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena 3:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto 1:1 ✺

01.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 0:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

15.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3 ✺

27.07.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	17	10	4	3	29:13	16	34
2	Atl. Nacional	17	8	7	2	32:21	11	31
3	Junior	17	9	4	4	31:21	10	31
4	Ind. Medellin	17	9	4	4	36:27	9	31
5	Fortaleza	17	8	7	2	23:16	7	31
6	Deportes Tolima	17	9	2	6	22:15	7	29
7	Llaneros	17	7	4	6	16:16	0	25
8	Aguilas	17	6	6	5	26:23	3	24
9	America De Cali	17	6	5	6	18:16	2	23
10	Alianza	17	6	5	6	21:21	0	23
11	Santa Fe	17	5	7	5	17:16	1	22
12	Once Caldas	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
13	Millonarios	17	6	3	8	20:24	-4	21
14	Dep. Cali	17	5	5	7	21:25	-4	20
15	Pereira	17	4	6	7	18:24	-6	18
16	U. Magdalena	17	5	3	9	20:27	-7	18
17	Envigado	17	3	7	7	14:20	-6	16
18	Chico	17	3	7	7	13:23	-10	16
19	Dep. Pasto	17	2	7	8	19:27	-8	13
20	La Equidad	17	2	5	10	9:26	-17	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )