Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.65
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
84% (405/480)68% (142/210)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.04
Total shots
179
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
245
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (405/480)68% (142/210)
Long passes
40% (18/45)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
75% (121/161)50% (35/70)
Crosses
30% (8/27)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.34
Throw-ins
2611
Fouls
1412
Tackles
69% (11/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
933
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.040.21
Goals prevented
-0.960.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
  • 4', Lastre E. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Sandoval L. ,
  • 20', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 37', Sandoval L. 🟥,
  • 38', Ramos N. 🟨,
  • 43', Colpa Bolano R. R. , Marquez R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Contreras J. , Tello J. ,
  • 46', Lastre E. , Aleman J. ,
  • 47', Aleman J. 🟨,
  • 58', Murillo D. , Martinez M. ,
  • 58', Chaverra F. , Garcia M. ,
  • 59', Alvarado J. , Loboa H. ,
  • 59', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 65', Fydriszewski F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 83', Hinojosa R. , Giraldo J. ,
  • 84', Mena Perea E. , Palacios J. ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Perlaza B. , Arizala J. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yt7tep6y

Chances of winning


Unión Magdalena
21.3%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente Medellín
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 30.8% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 29.7% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (4.2)
    3.29
    (3)
    1.93
    (1.96)
    3.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Ind Medellín (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Magdalena will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 2 - 50%). Ind Medellín (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 1:1
    08.11.2023 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:4
    17.05.2023 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 4:0
    10.10.2022 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 18131435:142140
    2Dep. Pasto ✔ 18104426:21534
    3Junior ✔ 18102627:21632
    4Deportes Tolima ✔ 1886426:161030
    5America De Cali ✔ 1893624:15930
    6Once Caldas ✔ 1879230:22830
    7Inter Bogotu00e11877425:23228
    8Santa Fe1868426:21526
    9Dep. Cali1875619:15426
    10Ind. Medellin1875625:22326
    11Millonarios1874729:21825
    12Bucaramanga1858525:18723
    13Aguilas1865718:24-623
    14Llaneros18410417:17022
    15Fortaleza1847720:26-619
    16Cucuta1837822:33-1116
    17Alianza1837811:25-1416
    18Jaguares de Cordoba18431118:33-1515
    19Chico18421212:32-2014
    20Pereira18171015:31-1610

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )