Municipal Limeño vs Alianza San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel
Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
el-salvadorEl-salvadorCanal 4, TCS GO, Tigo Sports
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Orellana N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Municipal Limeño
19.6%
Draw
28.3%
Alianza San Miguel
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 27.4% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 26.1% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Limeño's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.68
    (3.5)
    3.24
    (3.32)
    1.76
    (1.95)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Jorge Gonzalez.
    • Municipal Limeño is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1.
    • Municipal Limeño is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alianza is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Alianza is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:43. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 1:4
    29.09.2024 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 1:0
    27.07.2024 Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño 1:1
    25.05.2024 Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño 5:0
    04.05.2024 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 1:3
    Latest results of Municipal Limeño
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luis Angel Firpo11003:123
    2Aguila11001:013
    3FAS11001:013
    4Cacahuatique11001:013
    5Alianza FC10100:001
    6Fuerte San Francisco10100:001
    7Hercules10100:001
    8Inter F.A10100:001
    9Metapan10010:1-10
    10Platense Municipal10010:1-10
    11Zacatecoluca10010:1-10
    12Municipal Limeno10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )