Alianza San Miguel vs Municipal Limeño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño
Result
3:1
03/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
73
Total shots
911
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Segovia M. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Menjivar L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 2 - 1, Ferman J. ,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Bigueur D. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza San Miguel
53.5%
Draw
27.1%
Municipal Limeño
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.6% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.6)
    3.37
    (3.5)
    4.67
    (5)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Municipal Limeño (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DC - Municipal Limeño (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Municipal Limeño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Municipal Limeño has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Alianza is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:12. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:3. (average 2.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 0:1
    18.01.2025 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 1:4
    29.09.2024 Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel 1:0
    27.07.2024 Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño 1:1
    25.05.2024 Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño 5:0
    Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
    Latest results of Municipal Limeño
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luis Angel Firpo1283123:101327
    2Alianza FC1283121:111027
    3FAS1273230:141624
    4Cacahuatique1254318:12619
    5Metapan1253417:16118
    6Platense Municipal1237217:13416
    7Municipal Limeno1242617:21-414
    8Aguila124268:13-514
    9Fuerte San Francisco112456:17-1110
    10Inter F.A1215610:17-78
    11Zacatecoluca122286:14-88
    12Hercules1122712:27-158

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )