Result
0:1
02/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/471) | 82% (397/483) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (96/155) | 61% (50/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 0% (0/3) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 54', Lawrence J. 🟨,
- 56', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 72', Berghuis S. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
- 83', Brym C. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 83', Hansen K. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
- 83', Tahiri A. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
- 84', Kadile J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 90+1', Taylor K. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
15% | Draw
20.7% | Ajax
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almere City - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.32 ↓
(8.43) |
4.57 ↓
(5.28) |
1.48 ↑
(1.34) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almere City - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 34 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 86.9% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Almere City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ajax is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Almere City: Barbet T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Gorter J.
(Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Weghorst W.
(Toe Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Rasmussen C.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Ajax?
Almere City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Almere City?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Ajax were as follows:
15.12.2024
Ajax
-
Almere City
3:0
12.05.2024
Ajax
-
Almere City
3:0
12.11.2023
Almere City
-
Ajax
2:2
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
