Den Bosch vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 16
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.281.89
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (394/482)77% (286/370)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.281.89
xG on target (xGOT)
3.561.35
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
4017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
122
Passes
82% (394/482)77% (286/370)
Long passes
49% (33/68)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
69% (113/164)64% (45/70)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.55
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
212
Tackles
64% (7/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4228
Clearances
1547
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.353.56
Goals prevented
-0.65-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, de Groot N. ,
  • 36', Fortes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Druijf F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. , Poku E. (A),
  • 59', Wang B. , el Bakkali Z. ,
  • 59', Verbeek D. , Semedo E. ,
  • 62', Burgering B. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 63', Druijf F. , Providence R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Monzialo K. (Pen),
  • 75', Fortes J. , Barglan S. ,
  • 80', Wendlinger J. 🟥,
  • 82', Poku E. , Kuijsten T. ,
  • 82', Lawrence J. , Engel M. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Boumassaoudi I. (Pen),
  • 87', 4 - 2, van Leeuwen T. , Semedo E. (A),
  • 88', Monzialo K. , Wolters R. ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 2, Boumassaoudi I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Den Bosch
38.8%
Draw
24.9%
Almere City
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 25.4% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 24.8% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Den Bosch's performance.
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Den Bosch that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Den Bosch - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.81)
    3.74
    (3.71)
    2.57
    (2.31)
    6.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Almere City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Den Bosch will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Den Bosch will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury) Mateyo M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Almere City were as follows:
    12.05.2023 Den Bosch - Almere City 2:2
    26.08.2022 Almere City - Den Bosch 2:0
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    07.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch 1:3
    31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2
    28.10.2025 Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag 4:3
    25.10.2025 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 2:1
    21.10.2025 Den Bosch - Helmond Sport 1:0
    Latest results of Almere City
    03.11.2025 Dordrecht - Almere City 0:1
    20.10.2025 Roda - Almere City 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie