Result
5:2
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 16
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/482) | 77% (286/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/482) | 77% (286/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (113/164) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, de Groot N. ⚽,
- 36', Fortes J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Druijf F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 59', Wang B. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 59', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 62', Burgering B. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 63', Druijf F. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Monzialo K. (Pen),
- 75', Fortes J. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
- 80', Wendlinger J. 🟥,
- 82', Poku E. ↓, Kuijsten T. ↑,
- 82', Lawrence J. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Boumassaoudi I. (Pen),
- 87', 4 - 2, van Leeuwen T. ⚽, Semedo E. (A),
- 88', Monzialo K. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Boumassaoudi I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch
38.8% | Draw
24.9% | Almere City
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Den Bosch's performance.Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Den Bosch that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Den Bosch - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.81) |
3.74 ↑
(3.71) |
2.57 ↑
(2.31) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Almere City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Den Bosch will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Den Bosch will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
Mateyo M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Almere City?
Den Bosch has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Den Bosch?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Almere City were as follows:
12.05.2023
Den Bosch
-
Almere City
2:2
26.08.2022
Almere City
-
Den Bosch
2:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
