Almere City vs Den Bosch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 35
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.481.76
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
75
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
81
Passes
82% (409/501)78% (269/347)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.481.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.94
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
199
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
4317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
814
Passes
82% (409/501)78% (269/347)
Long passes
44% (29/66)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
70% (123/176)68% (66/97)
Crosses
33% (11/33)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.451.05
Throw ins
2110
Fouls
148
Tackles
53% (8/15)60% (3/5)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
1157
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.941.13
Goals prevented
-0.060.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Boumassaoudi I. , de Groot N. (A),
  • 36', Boumassaoudi I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', van de Blaak E. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, de Haan M. ,
  • 60', Boumassaoudi I. , Fortes J. ,
  • 77', Karlsson Grach S. , Wolters R. ,
  • 83', Maas S. , el Bakkali Z. ,
  • 84', Lawrence J. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Fortes J. ,
  • 88', van de Blaak E. , Ghogli I. ,
  • 88', de Haan M. , Cornelisse E. ,

Chances of winning


Almere City
47%
Draw
23.6%
Den Bosch
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 21.5% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 21.3% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.
  • Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Den Bosch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almere City - Den Bosch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.69)
    3.96
    (4.3)
    3.19
    (3.9)
    6.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Den Bosch?
  • Users Predictions: Almere City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
    • Almere City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Den Bosch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Almere City will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Den Bosch were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Den Bosch - Almere City 5:2
    12.05.2023 Den Bosch - Almere City 2:2
    26.08.2022 Almere City - Den Bosch 2:0
    Latest results of Almere City
    03.04.2026 Almere City - FC Oss 3:2
    20.03.2026 Jong Ajax - Almere City 0:2
    17.03.2026 Almere City - Waalwijk 2:2
    13.03.2026 Vitesse - Almere City 1:3
    07.03.2026 Almere City - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    21.03.2026 Waalwijk - Den Bosch 2:3
    16.03.2026 Den Bosch - Jong PSV 1:0
    13.03.2026 Jong Ajax - Den Bosch 3:2
    08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1
    27.02.2026 Den Bosch - Roda 2:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Almere City361741573:591455
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo361261847:55-842
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie