Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 35
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
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| 82% (409/501) | 78% (269/347) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 19 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 43 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (409/501) | 78% (269/347) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (29/66) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 70% (123/176) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (11/33) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 2.45 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
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| 21 | 10 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 53% (8/15) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 11 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Boumassaoudi I. ⚽, de Groot N. (A),
- 36', Boumassaoudi I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', van de Blaak E. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, de Haan M. ⚽,
- 60', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Fortes J. ↑,
- 77', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
- 83', Maas S. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 84', Lawrence J. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 2, Fortes J. ⚽,
- 88', van de Blaak E. ↓, Ghogli I. ↑,
- 88', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City 47% | Draw 23.6% | Den Bosch 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Den Bosch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almere City - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↑ (1.69) |
3.96 ↓ (4.3) |
3.19 ↓ (3.9) |
6.4% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Almere City - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
- Almere City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Den Bosch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
- We predict that Almere City will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Den Bosch?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Almere City?
Den Bosch has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Den Bosch were as follows:
21.11.2025
Den Bosch
-
Almere City
5:2
12.05.2023
Den Bosch
-
Almere City
2:2
26.08.2022
Almere City
-
Den Bosch
2:0
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie